|
|
Matt Hulett (WidgetBucks)
Average of 7 posts per month.
November 10
—
02:22 PM
I did a guest post on TechFlash today that supports the idea that today's set of Internet startups are smarter than the Web 1.0 companies. Let me know what you think.
November 5
—
12:39 PM
This is a post that I did on Seattle 2.0 this week. We talked about launching this last week on the startup whisperer. Here are the findings: -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The Startup Whisperer is tracking four early stage companies over the coming weeks. These companies are all early stage (Series B or lower). I continually hear from VCs that good companies are still going to get funded. Trevor Oelschig from Bessemer Ventures (invested in local Seattle companies like Smilebox and PureNetworks which sold to Cisco) stopped by the Mpire offices recently and said that their firm is actually investing more than ever in seed to Series A stage companies. Yet, one of our Mpire/WidgetBucks Board members, Rob Solomon, who recently joined the late stage venture capital firm, Technology Crossover Ventures, told me that really good companies in the Valley are having a hard time raising money. This topic has been reported on considerably in the press and across the blogosphere but I thought it would be interesting to track local, Seattle-area companies. Ultimately, the message that I get from entrepreneurs is that it’s very tough out there. I really appreciate the honesty of these four companies that submitted some very detailed information about their progress. The will remain anonymous (until each CEO wants me to unveil their progress). This is not a representative sample size but it should act as a folksy proxy on the state of venture financings. Here are some findings: Profile Company Background * 3 companies are raising money now (2 Series A's, 1 angel) * 1 company is raising money in the coming months (Series B) * Of the Series A companies that are raising money now, they have talked to approximately 20 VCS since they started fund-raising (14 in October alone), and they have received 10 'no's. Both Series A companies looking for $3-$4M in new capital, and it’s important to note that the firm that has talked to 20 VCs is already close to one term sheet as of the posting of this blog. It is going to be exciting to track progress here. The other angel company have received a couple of checks already and not many no's. Remember, angel financing is more about finding lots of investors paying smaller increments. Here are some interesting takeaways from these CEOs:
* "I think traction drives the whole thing. If you don’t have a real product and real customers and a real business model, it would be shocking to raise VC funds now unless you have an A++ team." * "It is pretty bad. All the rumors flying around are pretty true – investors getting nervous, staying close to home, not looking at new deals, etc." * "Just started in earnest on Tuesday with a small group of Angels. Went well resulting in a few writing checks in the following 48 hours." * "It’s rough but it seems like deals are still getting done. What we’re hearing/feeling are investors (mostly angels at this point) talking about how dicey times are and how we need to be hunkering down and how valuations are coming way down and … They’re then offering to put money in (in some cases) at pretty onerous terms (compared to what we would have seen a year ago). Real sales and revenue are required in any case. That’s what’s saving us at this point. In the last 2 weeks we’ve closed a few deals with Microsoft, AT&T Wireless, and Palm (all confidential) via their agencies. That traction is what’s getting investors interested along with the tech and market opportunities" * "...it’s all about sales and revenue. We’re able to show our top-line ramping (albeit from a very low base) due to sales inside of F1000 companies at healthy price points (five figures).In addition, our burn is relatively low so investors are looking at that and seeing a path to profitability even if we fail to raise a big chunk of money in the next 12 months. That’s still the plan but our plan B isn’t to go out of business which investors like I think." Not to sound like the Richard Dawson, but, the survey says, "Its hard out there." No surprise. I personally know each of these businesses and they have real revenues and have been scrappy around team size and overall expenses. I would note that all of the businesses currently raising money are not consumer Internet plays. The implication being that these are businesses that are not reliant on building a huge audience (aka they don't need to rely on Internet advertising revenues). The sample size is really small (but, I also have a day job). Like all entrepreneurs, these gentlemen are highly optimistic about the future. They are keeping their team sizes small and are extremely focused on building companies that have actual business models. More to come.
November 2
—
11:19 AM
Below is a conversation with long-time Seattle startup concielgere', Craig Sherman, who is a partner at Wilson, Sonsini, Goodrich, and & Rosati. I have known Craig for years and he's been in the catbird seat on Seattle startup deal flow for many years. Since there is so much interest in the overall trends in financing startups because of the global economic turmoil, I thought that the readers would greatly appreciate Craig's insights. Question: What does the overall deal flow look like right now for you and your firm (“deal flow” in terms of the number of financings and M&A transactions)? Craig: Deal flow hasn't quite plunged off a cliff, but it's rolling down a very steep slope head over heels. The number of angel and VC financing deals has fallen dramatically, and those deals that are getting done, for companies that have the misfortune to be running out of cash in the fourth quarter of 2008, are getting done on onerous terms. Multiple liquidation preferences on bridge loans and preferred stock financings have returned (ie the new investors receive 2-5x their money back before prior investors, let alone founders, receive anything). Valuations have plummeted. Like in 2000-2002, we're seeing follow-on rounds completed at $500,000 to $5,000,000 premoney valuations. Some small and midsized M&A deals are moving forward, but slowly, with more due diligence, and a fair amount of uncertainty over valuations. There are still a number of positive liquidity events with large cash-rich companies buying attractive very early-stage startups with strong teams and strong IP. The strongest startups are hunkering down and hoping for better times soon.
Question: You’ve been involved in the startup community for many years, how do you think this era of startups will fare versus the Web 1.0 startups? Craig: Web 1.0 startups raised massive amounts of money at insane valuations, and spent even faster than they could raise money. The vast majority of more recent startups, particularly outside Silicon Valley (but even there), learned the lessons of the last crash, and have raised and spent money far more conservatively. There's no question that the herd is being thinned right now, and a number of startups will disappear in the next six to 12 months. But this time around, deal valuations have less far to fall and startups have not been spending with reckless abandon, so far less trimming is necessary (or possible). Question: What is the tone in Board meetings that you sit-in on? For example, are Boards dictating reduction in staff, profitability, etc? Craig: EVERY board meeting begins with a discussion of the Sequoia RIP/death spiral powerpoint. And every board meeting concludes with a discussion of how to cut back to push out the cash-out date, ideally for at least 18 months, if not indefinitely. It's a very rare startup that is not looking at at least a small reduction in force. But most of these cutbacks are relatively small, and in many cases only an acceleration of normal (and typically unnoticed) trimming of the lower performers. Question: What has surprised you about this downturn in terms of impacting the startups that you are working with? Craig: The biggest surprise is the rapidity with which the public markets have unwound, and the accompanying spread of absolute fear and uncertainty. The economy as a whole has been suffering for over a year, but it's only with the severe declines of the public markets in October that the actual impact (in terms of declines of real revenue and cost-cuts required in response) has been felt in most technology startups. But though most VCs and startup CEOs are extremely concerned and taking responsive measures, most technology investors and executives have been through this exercise before, and there is less absolute panic in the tech community now than there was at the beginning of this millennium. Question: What advice would you give startups right now? Craig: Retreat to the bomb shelter each night and survive. But the air is not radioactive -- survival is possible if you can maintain the strength to fight off the wolves.
October 28
—
10:08 PM
Seth Godin's recent post "Failure as an event" reminded me of a post that I did on Abe Lincoln
on the Startup Whisperer. Read both posts and hopefully you will get the gist of them -- persistence
will pay off. Seth's self-effacing post reminded me that most startups end up
changing their business model more than once over the span of their company's history. I reflect
on this on the one year anniversary of the launch of WidgetBucks. Who woulda thunk that an eBay
seller tool business would morph into a top ad network. Embrace the failures and learn from them.
October 19
—
09:54 PM
The MoneyTree Report from PricewaterhouseCoopers shows that total VC financings in the third quarter were down 7 percent YoY (16% for Internet investments). Because of this, I am getting a ton of questions from entrepreneurs around how hard is the investment environment for startups. I thought that it would be interesting to highlight several early stage Internet companies. I will be tracking the number of VCs that each company is talking to, their progress in the investment deal funnel, and any interesting color that we find along the way. Each company is Seattle-based. I will be keeping the identities of the startups private (unless the CEO wants me to reveal them). The Startup Whisperer readership liked the post several months ago "Tootsie Rolls and Term Sheets" which highlighted data from previous investments.I will try to keep this as near real-time as possible. This is not a statistically significant study by no means but hopefully this will provide a great proxy for the readers on what the environment is like.
October 16
—
12:11 AM
Madrona threw a fantastic event on Oct 14th at their downtown Seattle offices. The focus of this event was online advertising. We all agreed that we weren't going to blog about the actual content of the meeting. Madrona pulled together execs from the most promising startups in Seattle as well as some several larger companies, including: AdReady, Amazon, Blue Kai, BuddyTV, Expedia, Marchex, Mercent, Revenue Science TeachStreet, WetPaint, WildTangent, Zillow, and etc. The main reason (for the no blogging rule) is that we had extremely open and frank dialog with folks like Microsoft SVP Brian McAndrews (former CEO aQuantive) and Google VP David Rosenblatt. The main gist of this blog post is to highlight how smart Madrona was in arranging this event for the following reasons: 1. Good local mojo - they invited the appropriate portfolio companies as well as non-Madrona funded portfolio companies (like me). Not only was this a classy move, but, they (Madrona) displayed a lot of leadership by doing this. This leadership will pay large dividends to all of the entrepreneurs in the room which means we'll want to work with them. 2. Positioning for their portfolio - Microsoft and Google execs in an intimate setting is very special. Even more special that Madrona portfolio companies get extra attention in these events. Of course, this could pay off for these companies in terms of strategic partnerships or exits. Kudos to Madrona. Excellent work on the actual event as well as building a world-class experience for the Seattle-based entrepreneurial community.
October 14
—
01:35 PM
I did a post on Seattle 2.0 today called, "Startup Zen: Top 5 Ways to Approach the Downturn." In it, I mention 5 recommendations for startups when the economy is tough. The last recommendation was "stop listening to people." I think its important to look within your company. Talk to your team, your investors, and your customers. Otherwise, you are going to get wildly varying degrees of advice. Only your company knows what its relative strenghts and weaknesses are. I talk to entrepreneurs all of the time and they are always scrambling to get advice from a wide set of people who have no real skin in the game. Do yourself a favor and focus within. Check out the post in case you are interested.
October 14
—
01:34 PM
October 9
—
12:31 PM
By now, you have most likely read directly or have been forwarded the notes from Sequoia Capital's CEO All-Hands Meeting on Sand Hill Road yesterday. They had 100 of their CEO's in attendance yesterday. GigaOm did a nice job on covering the sentiment and Force of Good re-posted some notes from the Funded. The advice is eerily similar to what Mike Mortiz told me years ago when I was at Atom Entertainment. We had just closed a big round and we took steps to batten down the company for the nuclear winter called the Web 1.0 bubble burst. I highly recommend that you read the Sequoia takeaways. There is a bunch of good advice in it. If I were to boil it down, then I would say: - If you don't have adequate capital for 1-2 years, then act now on making your business smaller
- Even if you do (have adequate capital), focus on building a profitable business (and smaller)
- Do more with less - less is a smaller team, smaller budget, less initiatives (get good at your business)
I continue to believe that the teams and companies that view these periods as an opportunity will emerge out of this period as better, stronger, and building fantastic value for employees and investors.
October 8
—
02:34 PM
I am really excited to be contributing to Seattle 2.0. Marcelo Calbucci (Marcelo Calbucci)is a very passionate entrepreneur who started this wonderful place over a hear ago to help tech entrepreneurs build great companies. I will be contributing each week on a variety of topics. I will more than likely dig into some meatier subjects like financing terms sheets, compensation practices, etc. Check out Seattle 2.0.
|
|
|
|
Sponsors
|
|